Value Lays
Wincanton 3.10 Rosses Point <7/2
HS Backs
Thurles 1.45 Collinstown & Nine O
Value Backs
MR 1.50 Kilbeggan Blade >9/4
I dont think we'll get value on kilbeggan blade tomorrow. he's currently trading at 6/4. very short price considering he hs never ran at 3m4f before.
Liquidity is always a problem on the small race meets in ireland so i might have to back the HS backs in the bookies tomorrow. i'll see whats on offer on betfair in the morning. Nine O is looking like a seriously good bet. again the odds are crap on betfair at the moment. if i can get 7/1 i will be very happy. all his wins come on 9 -11 furlong right handed tracks with a run in of between 1 .5 and 2.5 furlongs and up hill finish (Since he went handicapping if you discount the one run for unsuitable ground - firm- his strike rate is 5/5). he is a seasonal performer and loves the muck. braddish is a small trainer so watch out for a major gamble tomorrow. this could be his chance to pay his wages for the year!
So in retrospect i will be betting on all these with my usual €10 stake but i will also be going to bookies to put a decent sized bet on Nine O.
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2 comments:
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