9 Jan 2007

3.05 sedgefield 27 Furlong Heavy

The following i am discounted
Wilie the fish - distance and going
Amber light - form and going
Nectar de Guye - Seconditis and better mud lovers in the race
Its definite - top weight on heavy ground for good ground horse
Uneven Line - Distance - if race was 3 furlong shorter this would be ideal.
Sailor a Hoy - Distance and form

This leaves 2 for the shortlist
Jballingall - Bottom weight, course and distance winner on heavy ground. Likes a test of stamina, trainer has 1/2 record here over chase jumps and jockey has high strike rate for trainer. Has won in Hexham and sedgefield, both of which are stiff tracks.Trainer had a 100/1 second place during the week, so hopefully its a sigh he is in good form. came 3rd in a 2 mile race last time out so current form is good.

Cinnamon Line - likes heavy going and in good form. Small time Trainer has had 1 win and 2 places with big prices in the last 2 weeks. however he has not won on a recognised stiff track and not with second top weight of 11 10 on his back.

Therefore Jballinggall to win.