Today was a decent day for me. i had 5 bets and 4 won. Ok the odds were miserable but i had enough research put in to warrant a very confident days betting ahead of me if i stuck to my guns. My betting pattern consisted of a few max bets and and few singles.
I have spent the past week and weekend putting all my result in a spreadsheet and analysing every one of them. My Irish selections have been going ok for me, but i wont get rich quick with the lack of racing and the small number of suitable races.
Therefore i have developed a method which will narrow down selections for me in England.
I now have a process whereby i have 3 spreadsheets. One is to narrow down the selections for a particular day by using a certain method. This method gives me a list of horses which satisfy the following criteria
1. Horse can handle the going and distance
2. Trainer has a decent record at the course
3. Jockey has a decent record at the course
4. Trainer is in form
5. Horse has realistic chance of being in the frame
The second spreadsheet is where i run the above selections through a set of very professionally put together ratings i subscribe to and which i highly respect and have used for the past number of years. This highlights horses which are totally outclassed or not and provides the next filter.
i then look at the refined list and i look in depth at each selection to ensure the following
1. Is it suited to the course
2. Analyse recent form to see if the horse is really in/out of form or if it is a pattern horse - one who needs exact conditions to win -
3. Again look to see if it will be outclassed or not
4. Look at final indicators, field size, head gear, performance under certain weight, trainer comments, RP comments
the third and final spreadsheet is the final selections list that has passed all the criteria and i have each marked as either a max bet or a single bet. A max bet is 2.5 times the single bet. In monetary terms, that's 20 for a single and 50 for a max.
Im pretty confident that this will be profitable for the national hunt season. so far so good
Sunday, 4 February 2007
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