Tuesday, 27 March 2007

Kempton

Im looking through a few of the races in Kempton tomorrow.

2.20 Novice Hurdle

The first race looks good for a bet. Benetwood and Enlightenment are the two likely winners, however i believe the odds should be reversed. Benetwood beats Enlightenment hands down on the formlines (My turn now and Karello Bay). Plus the fact that AP McCoy is 2 from 2 on board and also Fontwell where horse has won twice is quite similiar to Kempton. At 3/1 I will be having a 2.5 point win bet. The only problem that i can foresee is the going conditions, however i see both horses having the same problem. I looked at dam and sire for Benetwood and it would souggest hat an easier surface is perferable but there was 1 win on good and a few places. Looking at the other semi contenders in the race , they all seem to have going question marks.

Tip: 2.5 point win Benetwood

Nothing really stands out on the 2 handicap chases. The first looks like Be Telling is still on the up and could win this one easy . however odds too short to nail this one as a certainty.

The second chase looks very competitive. all have a chance so no bet here.. the other races are minefields so will avoid.

Tuesday, 20 March 2007

Wednesday

two bets tomorrow in the 2.40 in Chepstow .
back Time for you
lay Travello

Quiet Times

No Bets the past few days and none today either.

Sunday, 18 March 2007

Hangover bet

Very hungover today. Pretty disgusted in how the six nations panned out yesterday. I can't blame Ireland for running the ball at the end of the game. We needed as many points as possible and were unlucky to give away the try.

I also found out today, too drunk to remember yesterday but the TV judge at the French game was Irish and he gave the try even though there was no way he could see the ball was grounded. Maybe if the judge wasn't Irish he wouldn't have given it. .basically i'm saying , he gave the try so as to keep his job and not look biased.

Other than that, a great day was had yesterday. Meet up with friends I hadnt seen in ages and celebrated paddys day in style! ended up in casino though when i couldnt get a taxi and proceeded to throw away money.. note to self: Never go to casino drunk

One bet for today, well two, both in same race..

Fontwell 4.30
Lay Strolling Vagabond
Back Notanotherdonkey

now time to win back my losses from casino on some on line poker

Hangover bet

Very hungover today. Pretty disgusted in how the six nations panned out yesterday. I can't blame Ireland for running the ball at the end of the game. We needed as many points as possible and were unlucky to give away the try.

I also found out today, too drunk to remember yesterday but the TV judge at the French game was Irish and he gave the try even though there was no way he could see the ball was grounded. Maybe if the judge wasn't Irish he wouldn't have given it. .basically i'm saying , he gave the try so as to keep his job and not look biased.

Other than that, a great day was had yesterday. Meet up with friends I hadnt seen in ages and celebrated paddys day in style! ended up in casino though when i couldnt get a taxi and proceeded to throw away money.. note to self: Never go to casino drunk

One bet for today, well two, both in same race..

Fontwell 4.30
Lay Strolling Vagabond
Back Notanotherdonkey

now time to win back my losses from casino on some on line poker

Friday, 16 March 2007

Great Finish to the Festival!!

Well what can i say.. A brilliant finish to a really enjoyable weeks racing. First of all the results from today

2pts each way Katchit - 1st matched 7.4 betfair win, 2.98 place = +15.5 pts
1pt each way Flight Leader = - 2 pts
3 points win Kauto Star - 2.6 on Betfair = +4.5 points

In total +18 points today

Over the 4 days festival, we have banked a very respectable +34.1 points

If only all days were like this. I am first to admit, i did an unreal amount of form analysis to achieve this figure, touching on 7 hours each evening after a full days normal work.


And as a bonus today if anyone followed my tip for Fakenham, you would have gained an extra 2 points to SP. Luckily i took the early price on both selections, back and lay and returned 3 points profit extra today.

I would also like to thank my good friends at www.infactah.com (Irish Group Blog of the year) and Ray at http://thesportstrader.lastminuteliving.com/ for giving my site a mention during the week and to all the new readers who gave my blog a visit.

I will be updating the blog as usual with backs and lay selections and if one thing i have learned from this week is that you get your reward from putting in the hard work. Maybe that was something lacking since i started the blog. Hopefully I can keep it up.

Happy Paddys day to all and lets hope Ireland do the business tomorrow in the rugby to cap off a great week!

Cheltenham Day 4

Another tough day to predict. I will only be betting in three races. I do not have time for lenghty post so here are my three main bets

2. 00 Katchit 2 points each way
Great battler and loves the course. Will be in the frame.

2.35 1 point each way Flight Leader

3.15 3 points win Kauto Star


the last three races are a minefield. i spent 2 hours on the grand annual and cant come up with a selection. Favourites have a good record here and with nicholls and walsh in form, the saint saire looks ok, but he is only 4/1.

Another bet i will be placing is laying William John in the 5.30 in Fakenham and backing Doctor David in the same race. looks like easy money here.