Im looking through a few of the races in Kempton tomorrow.
2.20 Novice Hurdle
The first race looks good for a bet. Benetwood and Enlightenment are the two likely winners, however i believe the odds should be reversed. Benetwood beats Enlightenment hands down on the formlines (My turn now and Karello Bay). Plus the fact that AP McCoy is 2 from 2 on board and also Fontwell where horse has won twice is quite similiar to Kempton. At 3/1 I will be having a 2.5 point win bet. The only problem that i can foresee is the going conditions, however i see both horses having the same problem. I looked at dam and sire for Benetwood and it would souggest hat an easier surface is perferable but there was 1 win on good and a few places. Looking at the other semi contenders in the race , they all seem to have going question marks.
Tip: 2.5 point win Benetwood
Nothing really stands out on the 2 handicap chases. The first looks like Be Telling is still on the up and could win this one easy . however odds too short to nail this one as a certainty.
The second chase looks very competitive. all have a chance so no bet here.. the other races are minefields so will avoid.
Tuesday, 27 March 2007
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